Monday, November 24, 2014

Match Day 5

Hello everyone,

Before suggesting the actual bets today, I would like to to talk a bit about different kinds of the odds you can make. This is extremely straightforward but crucial to know before we can go further:

  • Single
  • A Single is a bet on 1 selection in one event. 
  • Double
  • A Double consists of 1 bet involving 2 selections in different events. Image
  • Treble
  • A Treble consists of 1 bet involving 3 selections in different events. 
  • Accumulator
  • An accumulator bet involves the number of selections you choose to win from different events.
    An accumulator with four selections is referred to as a four-fold; an accumulator with five selections is referred to as a five-fold and so on.
 One simple rule -  All bets must be successful to get a return.

    Therefore, trying to eliminate the risks as much as possible seems to be very reasonable.  
Example would be: 
You consider to bet the amount of 100 dollars and expect to get a return of 175 dollars. Hence, you have to bet for the event with coefficient of 1.75. Clearly, that's a pretty risky bet where possibility of success would be roughly 50%. Instead, you can pick two events, which occurring likelihood would be 1.35 (80%) and  1.33 (81%) and use double strategy. This implies multiplication of the coefficients. 1.35*1.33= 1.8 and the probability of two independent events occurring would be 64.8%. 
Of course it takes a little more then simple multiplication but it describes concept pretty clear I hope.

So, today I want us to try double strategy and our picks are:
25 Nov14:45 ESTAPOEL Nicosia   v   Barcelona
Barca doesn't impress lately, but they racing with PSG for the first place in the group and simply cannot let to lose points against so much less skilled side. 
Barcelona win for 1.25
Manchester has all the chances to eliminate them-self from the competition tomorrow. They will be missing YaYa Toure, who's absolutely irreplaceable for them. However, the fact that they play at home against opposite side which already has taken care of all their tasks gives me confidence that we will see exciting game where attacking football will take over.
Man City over 0.5 goal (Man City to score) for 1.33
1.25*1.33=1.6625

That's all for today,
Good Luck!


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